Posts Made By: James Lacey

Originally Posted by Mel Maki

Many believe it is in no way a reflection of a poorly run business.

http://www.abi.org/feed-item/examining-donald-trump's-chapter-11-bankruptcies

There is something poetic about this result! 

Originally Posted by Darian Rachal

Richard, the media will do whatever they can to undermine Trump's reelection, as well as attempt to persuade the public that Biden's election is inevitable.

Are all the pollsters part of this plot too? Trump's biggest problem right now is that he is a terrible President whose incompetent leadership is to blame for tens-of-thousands of unnecessary deaths and depression-level unemployment. Polls show this is what most Americans believe. You can stick your head in the sand and blame it on the media if you want, but the simple truth is that Trump is the worst possible person to be in the White House during this time. He is simply not capable of leading a unified and consistent effort to control and contain the pandemic. The pandemic is raging out of control in several Southern states right now, and the federal response is feckless to non-existent to downright counter-productive.

Here are some data points for you:

New Quinnipiac national poll: Biden 52%; Trump 37%

Just 29% approve of Trump's handling of schools reopening with 61% disapproving and 69% of women disapproving.

Two-thirds, 65%, trust Dr. Fauci over President Trump, and only 26% say they don't believe Dr. Fauci.

These are not anomalies, or cases of the polls have it wrong again. They are facts, and they are the reason for Brad Parscale's sacking as Trump's campaign manager. When your campaign starts claiming that the polls are wrong because of the silent majority, or because of the secret Trump voters that are not speaking up, that's when you know it's doomed.

Originally Posted by Richard Davis

Who cares what you scream? You're a complete Fraud who misrepresented his politics from the start, and you finally exposed yourself as a liberal.  

You have no credibility, and your party is a disgrace, and it has been for decades.  

Speaking of credibility and disgraces:

Originally Posted by James Brown

Hi James:

Your post got three separate unhinged rants in reply!  I doubt it is a record, but still, pretty good.  Here is something Richard can not comprehend. 

(a)  True statement:  The press is biased.  I though the Bari Weiss resignation letter was entirely credible, tragic, moving and true.  Bad on the NYT.  

(b)  True Statement:  (paraphrasing you and Russ)  Trump's goose may be entirely cooked because of his own words and actions not because of press bias.  

Both these things can be true!  Rich will never get it.  FWIW I am not as confident as you and Russ that Trump is actually toast.  Right now, the Biden camp has sheltered Biden such that Trump is running against "not Trump"  and is losing.  At some point the voters are going to want to see what Biden is really made of, and that will potentially swing this race back toward Trump.  Lotta time between now and then.

Jim

Wow! Not as good as having him challenge me to a boxing match, but hey, I'll take what I can get.

Presidential elections can pivot quickly, I'll grant you that, but Trump has one of the worst incumbent records in modern history. At this point, he is running against himself, and we all know surely after four years of this chaotic shit-show of a dumpster fire that he is never going to rise to the occasion.

Originally Posted by Darian Rachal

What are your plans if he wins reelection? I can conceive of Trump losing. Can you conceive of him winning?

You ask this same question, or variations of it, so much that honestly, I'm tired of answering it. I don't have any plans if he wins. If he wins, he wins and that is that.

Originally Posted by Mel Maki

Biden is sharp. He has solutions.
"...anybody that can throw coal into a furnace can learn how to program, for God's sake!"

Trump is sharp! He has solutions!

Trump versus showerheads, toilets, dishwashers, and light bulbs, yesterday, during a global pandemic:

We’re bringing back consumer choice in home appliances so that you can buy washers and dryers, showerheads and faucets. So showerheads — you take a shower, the water doesn’t come out. You want to wash your hands, the water doesn’t come out. So what do you do? You just stand there longer or you take a shower longer? Because my hair — I don’t know about you, but it has to be perfect. Perfect. (Laughter and applause.)

Dishwashers — you didn’t have any water, so you — the people that do the dishes — you press it, and it goes again, and you do it again and again. So you might as well give them the water because you’ll end up using less water. So we made it so dishwashers now have a lot more water. And in many places — in most places of the country, water is not a problem. They don’t know what to do with it. It’s called “rain.” They don’t have a problem.

And old-fashioned incandescent lightbulbs — I brought them back. I brought them back. (Applause.) They have two nice qualities: They’re cheaper and they’re better. They look better, and they make you look so much better. That’s important to all of us. (Laughter.) But they’re better and much cheaper. And they were mandated out, legislated out. And we brought them back, and they’re selling like hotcakes.

We stopped the egregious abuse of the Clean Water Act, which extreme activists have used to shut down construction projects all across our country. When I signed that legislation, I had many farmers and construction people standing behind me — people that haven’t cried since they were a baby. Some of them never even when they were a baby, and they were crying. Many people were cry- — we gave them back their life. They took away their land. They took away their rights. They took away their life. 

Originally Posted by James Brown

Hi James:

Point made! 

I think it is partially unfortunate that Biden has the nomination.  I was vocally opposed to Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren as you recall.  But there was plenty of younger and  fresher political talent in the D race early on.  The Democrat's nomination process has produced two uninspiring candidates in the last two cycles.  Biden is more palatable to me than Clinton, but still...

As you know, I don't think the occupant of the oval office has the overwhelming emperor-like effect on governance that some folks do.  So I guess Biden is a fine D candidate, from my point of view.  He is certainly not Warren or Sanders.  Just 12 years ago the Democrats nominated an inspiring new up-and-comer.  (Hopefully that line earns me a few Ranties).  Seriously though, even if one hated Obama's politics one had to admit that he was an inspiring figure.  And then the D's nominate two fossils from a bygone era, one of whom is extremely ethically compromised.  I know there is no answer, this is a rhetorical post, but why the heck would the Ds do that?

Jim

Why did the Rs nominate Trump? There were plenty of decent, honorable, and qualified alternatives. I'm confident all kinds of party politics are going on in the background that we as the general public are not privy too. For example, there is plenty of evidence that Hillary got the nomination in 2016 partly because party bosses wanted her to have it. Did they think it was merely her time? Did they think the moment was ripe for a female President? I'm sure they had some confidence she would win. There probably is no single reason why, and similarly, for Biden, I'm sure there is a multitude of reasons why he won the nomination. He is certainly not my best choice, but between him and Trump for me personally, he is the only choice.

Sometimes the stars align as well, and a candidate gets the nomination only because they are in the right place at the right time, not because they are imminently qualified. This kind of serendipity was mostly the case for U.S. Grant, for example. He was enjoying a large amount of public appreciation and support for having won the Civil War, and after the disastrous tenure of Andrew Johnson, he won the nomination easily. He didn't even seek it; the party practically awarded it to him as an honor. It turned out that Grant was a great war-time general, but not such a great politician. His military career before the Civil War was even quite lackluster, and he left the military after the Mexican-American War, and several deployments to lonely western forts, rather than face court-martial charges for drunkenness. Grant only rejoined the army after the Civil War started, and his civilian life was marred with a great amount of personal failure. With time, Grant grew into the role of the POTUS, and even won reelection, and was pivotal in winning the peace after the Civil War, but he was poorly qualified for the office when he was nominated.

Originally Posted by Darian Rachal

You are so rabidly anti-Trump, it's difficult for me to imagine you being so indifferent regarding his victory.

You asked if I had plans. I don't. Now you have moved the goalposts. If you are going somewhere with this, then please, conclude.

Originally Posted by Russ Carroll

As I have already said, I'm done arguing about it and Trump will lose. If he doesn't we all lose, and some things permanently.

Does that count as a rant?

The economist has released its latest forecasting:

https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president

Our model is updated every day and combines state and national polls with economic indicators to predict a range of outcomes. The midpoint is the estimate of the electoral-college vote for each party on election day.

Chance of winning the electoral college:
Biden 93%
Trump 7%

Chance of winning the most votes:
Biden 99%
Trump 1%

Estimated electoral college votes:
Biden 353
Trump 185

Trump has no path to electoral victory without Ohio, and right now, polling in Ohio is uncertain at best. Even FL, AZ, GA, and Texas are unsure for a Trump win at this point.

Gallup also has an interesting poll out that party identification has swung to an eleven point lead for Democrats in the last month alone. If this is true and holds, we are looking at a blue tsunami in November.

Originally Posted by Darian Rachal

Jim, you're probably right about not a lot being said by some Forum members if Biden wins; Biden will not be living  "in the head" of those that oppose him in the way that Trump does in the TDS sufferers who participate here. They will simply become more unhinged if Trump wins and continue with their hysterical rants.

Darian, you have got to be kidding. Rich will be a raving lunatic if Biden wins, just like he was when Obama was in office. It's telling that you find nothing wrong with Rich's by now legendary rants, but if I or Russ or anyone else express dissatisfaction with Trump's Presidency, somehow Trump is living in our heads or we are unhinged. The double-standard is glaring. By the way, and for the record, you can stop trying to derive satisfaction from my misery over Trump being President. I promise you, I do not lose any sleep at night, and my life is excellent and will continue to be exemplary in most ways regardless of who is President. Also, aren't you the guy who admitted that if he could snap his fingers and exterminate tens-of-millions of Americans just because they are Democrats, you would? It's a bit funny that you of all people, given that admission, want to try and characterize others as partisans who can't imagine, much less live in, a world with Republicans in it.