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Posts Made By: James Lacey

May 22, 2020 02:50 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By James Lacey

Originally Posted by Darian Rachal

James, can you imagine the difference if this "prediction" had not been hysterically blasted by the MSM 24/7? I'll reiterate that I consider the US media the equivalent of excrement. I didn't reach this conclusion 'yesterday'; I've held it for many years and nothing during this virus matter he made me inclined to make a 180° shift.

So, you are suggesting that the shut-down and subsequent economic implosion is the fault of the media I take it. All I can say is that I disagree entirely. To think this, you would have to completely ignore all the advice and warnings that were coming from infectious disease experts and what was happening around the world. If you look at the evidence as a whole, it's clear that COVID-19 is no hoax or media hype.

May 22, 2020 02:53 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By James Lacey

Originally Posted by James Brown

Hi James:

Other than the fact that May 29 hasn't occurred yet, I agree with you and Trump shocked

Jim

March 29th; my bad.


https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-president-trump-vice-president-pence-members-coronavirus-task-force-press-briefing-14/

May 22, 2020 03:06 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By James Lacey

Originally Posted by James Brown

I firmly believe that we will have between 100,000 and 240,000 deaths before this is over.  We are knocking on the 100k door right now. 

Obviously, I do not know if 2M deaths  would have occurred if we had done nothing in mitigation.  I suspect not, based upon the data from the last 7 weeks.  At the time of the 2M projections, though, a lot of what we see today was unknown.  Those projections came with broad error bars that were unreported.

I firmly believe that the heath care  system would have been taxed or overwhelmed in many communities leading to many extra deaths if we had done nothing.  I thought then, and I think now, that the mitigation efforts were "worth it"  (where have I heard that before?).  Certainly in the context of the information on hand 7-8 weeks ago. 

Hopefully obvious too; I am pleased that the states started reopening several weeks ago and are accelerating re-opening now.  

Jim

Hi Jim,

There is a slew of serological studies coming out of Europe now, and they are showing that exposure to COVID-19 is far lower than many people thought. Believe it or not, only 5% for countries like Italy and Spain. What this means is that herd immunity is a pipe-dream without a lot more severe cases and death. Between this and the recent demographics of fatalities, it seems pretty clear we need a segmented strategy that protects the most vulnerable and a test, trace and isolate program until a vaccine is available.

May 29, 2020 06:35 AM Forum: Politics

Voting by Mail

Posted By James Lacey

Originally Posted by Jim Moscheck
My wife and I got our applications to get absentee ballots for the November election. We're going to do it just to piss off the orange guy in the WH and his fans. 

Ironic that he's against it. Recently that's exactly how he voted in the Florida primary. 

I guess it's a case of don't do what I do, do what I say.


This story has gotten more interesting since Twitter fact-checked Trump's tweet about mail-in voting being rife with fraud. That fact-check then triggered Trump to issue an executive order that is unenforceable. Yesterday he even threatened to close down Twitter. The man is so petty, and he can never accept that he is wrong about anything. It would be funny to see Trump get into a legal tiff with Twitter. It's one thing to spread horrific lies and slander about a man's dead wife who does not have the resources or power to fight back; it's a whole different set of circumstances to take on a giant like Twitter.

In response to Trump's misleading tweets, Ellen Weintraub, the FEC commissioner in a 60-tweet thread, cited a range of facts that show that mail-in voting does not lead to large-scale fraud. Not only is mail-in voting rarely defrauded, it turns out that Trump and Melania did it, and Kellyanne Conway also did it. Even Trump's press secretary Kaleigh McEnany did it eleven times. Further, five states hold elections almost entirely by mail, and 33 other states allow the option. Even Trump's blue-ribbon committee to investigate voter fraud after the 2016 election, had to be disbanded because it could not find substantial voter fraud anywhere. Why was the committee even formed? Because he could not accept that he lost the popular vote by one of the most significant margins in history. This character flaw is probably the same reason he insists he is taking hydroxychloroquine; Trump simply is incapable of admitting he is wrong.

May 29, 2020 09:41 PM Forum: Politics

Voting by Mail

Posted By James Lacey

Originally Posted by Greg Shaffer
Read and weep James

The only weeping will be by those who think this executive order will amount to anything tangible. It's most likely unconstitutional, according to legal experts on the left and the right. Not only does it infringe on the first amendment rights of private companies, but it also tries to steal the power of the courts and Congress by unilaterally rewriting decades of settled law. What is interesting about it is how quickly Trump's supporters, who so often claim to value small-government policies, are willing to embrace the big-stick of government regulation where it's not needed because it plays to their political proclivities.

May 29, 2020 09:43 PM Forum: Politics

Voting by Mail

Posted By James Lacey

Originally Posted by Jim Moscheck
Here's what Trump uses Twitter for:

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1266231100780744704?s=20


Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
This Tweet violated the Twitter Rules about glorifying violence. However, Twitter has determined that it may be in the public’s interest for the Tweet to remain accessible. Learn more

....These THUGS are dishonoring the memory of George Floyd, and I won’t let that happen. Just spoke to Governor Tim Walz and told him that the Military is with him all the way. Any difficulty and we will assume control but, when the looting starts, the shooting starts. Thank you!


12:53 AM · May 29, 2020

or iPhone

Boy, what a leader

On edit: They actually hid his tweet! That is a provocative move on Twitter's part and will no doubt cause quite a stir with not only Trump but the right-wing media as well!

May 30, 2020 12:59 AM Forum: Politics

Voting by Mail

Posted By James Lacey

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

Trump did this because he got fact checked by social media and he, of course, wouldn't have any of it. His executive order will likely be challenged in the courts and be thrown out in due time...

It's little more than a petty political stunt, albeit more sophisticated than applying a sharpie to an official NOAA weather map.

May 30, 2020 03:41 AM Forum: Politics

Voting by Mail

Posted By James Lacey

Originally Posted by Greg Shaffer
It is readily apparent the Trump folks anticipated both Rod and James by prefacing the press release with:

In the next few hours/days, you may hear a lot about this Executive Order. Left wing media will claim it addresses a fake problem because tech bias doesn’t exist. Democrats in Congress will say the President is exceeding his authority. Some in the Beltway establishment will say the order doesn’t do that much in the first place.

All of these are lies. Here are a few of the key actions in President Trump’s order:

Or maybe, this is just all part of their political theater. I do wish Trump could do something else besides eternally playing the whiny victim, though.

June 1, 2020 03:29 AM Forum: Politics

WHO suspends hydroxychloroquine trial

Posted By James Lacey

Originally Posted by Jim Moscheck

Maybe you are an asshole?

When all you can do is see the world through glasses that dim the humanity of others, then you are, by definition, an asshole.

June 1, 2020 08:37 AM Forum: Politics

WHO suspends hydroxychloroquine trial

Posted By James Lacey

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

Nothing like our president and Fox news, right?...

At least Trump is handling the protests and riots in such a way that are sure to earn him more black American votes. And those tweets about thugs, and dangerous weapons he wants to unleash on them and the gratuitous violence he encourages, they are healing the nation! Right? Good lord, the only delusional people are the ones that think Trump is even minutely qualified for the office of the POTUS. He is the worst person imaginable to be in charge right now.