The Hammer and the Dance..... Why mitigation is not enough.Posted By James Lacey |
Originally Posted by Greg Shaffer
While I agree the situation requires fast, decisive, responsible action I tend to agree with Rich that we should not be throwing the entire nation into a financial meltdown over an infection whose mortality rate is far less than others we have been thru before without doing so......
We have never been through anything like COVID unless you are counting the flu epidemic of 1918. The COVID virus is novel, so none of us have resistance, and it's highly transmissible. Ergo, we are all going to get it sooner or later, and that translates to hundreds of millions of people in the US alone. The mortality rate for COVID is currently around 1% in the US. That translates to a lot of deaths in a brief period and a lot of suffering. Not to mention the chaos, panic, and tragedy caused by an overwhelmed healthcare system. Seasonal flu sickened 36 million people last year and caused 22,000 deaths. It's small potatoes compared to what COVID can potentially do. Even if you think 1% mortality for COVID is too high, and it may be, seasonal flu has a mortality rate of 0.06%. Whatever the actual mortality rate of COVID is, it's way deadlier than seasonal flu. By the way, the entire country of India, 1.3 billion people, just went into a shelter-in-place order for at least 21 days. Do you think countries like India, with 1.3 billion people, are doing this because COVID is far less deadly than the seasonal flu? I think they are doing it because they know the facts and are scared shitless about what will happen if they do nothing.