Posts Made By: Dave Snope

http://www.mcnaughtonart.com/artwork/view_zoom/379#resolution_tips

Yet another fact blows up in the face of the AGW modelers.

Please don't miss that this is sea ice extent, the phenomena where the alarmists get inflamed whenever a large chunk naturally breaks off into the sea as warm ocean currents sweep by. Then the politicians and moviestars and tech billionaires fly down to Antarctica to get a last weepy look at the diminishing (errr, increasing) ice. And some Animal Planet show manages to find some penguins on a gravelly shoal and plays sad music to make it a tragedy. As has been shown in numerous studies, the ice over land has been increasing for a long time. So we increasing land ice, increasing sea ice. I guess that's cause for celebration among the weepy set, eh?

A recent paper in the Journal of Climate finds that most climate models erroneously predict that Antarctic sea ice extent decreased over the past 30 years, which "differs markedly from that observed." As noted in the abstract, Antarctic sea ice has confounded the models by instead increasing over the satellite era. In fact, it is currently at a record extent that is more than 2 standard deviations above the 1979-2000 average.

An Initial Assessment of Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in the CMIP5 Models
John Turner, Tom Bracegirdle, Tony Phillips, Gareth J. Marshall, and J. Scott Hosking

British Antarctic Survey, National Environment Research Council, Cambridge, UK
Abstract

We examine the annual cycle and trends in Antarctic sea ice extent (SIE) for 18 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 models that were run with historical forcing for the 1850s to 2005. Many of the models have an annual SIE [sea ice extent] cycle that differs markedly from that observed over the last 30 years. The majority of models have too small a SIE at the minimum in February, while several of the models have less than two thirds of the observed SIE at the September maximum. In contrast to the satellite data, which exhibits a slight increase in SIE, the mean SIE of the models over 1979 - 2005 shows a decrease in each month, with the greatest multi-model mean percentage monthly decline of 13.6% dec-1 in February and the greatest absolute loss of ice of -0.40 × 106 km2 dec-1 in September. The models have very large differences in SIE over 1860 – 2005. Most of the control runs have statistically significant trends in SIE over their full time span and all the models have a negative trend in SIE since the mid-Nineteenth Century. The negative SIE trends in most of the model runs over 1979 - 2005 are a continuation of an earlier decline, suggesting that the processes responsible for the observed increase over the last 30 years are not being simulated correctly.




http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2012/09/antarctic-sea-ice-reaches-record-high.html

As the once-proud economy dies, and the mideast is in dangerous turmoil, our president has his priorities. His admin may not know how to keep national security secrets, but they sure know how to keep his lavish partying top secret so the proletariat doesn't spot the class divisions.

WASHINGTON — Nix the flags and the podium. Cue the opulent 18-foot tower of gold-bottled French champagne.

When President Obama addresses an elite roster of hipsters and multimillionaires, including hosts Beyoncé and Jay-Z, in New York tonight, he will do so next to a custom-designed tower of $800-per-bottle champagne that dominates the main room at Jay-Z’s 40/40 nightclub.

The 350-bottle champagne tower — designed by Jeffrey Beers — is a monument to Jay-Z’s favorite bubbly, Armand de Brignac, which is known colloquially by rappers, clubgoers and connoisseurs as Ace of Spades because of its gold-spade label.

“It’s floor-to-ceiling gold bottles in the entire space. It’s beautiful — breathtaking,” a rep for the Flatiron District hot spot told The Post. “It’s the first thing you see when you walk in.”

But the White House, which meticulously controls Obama’s image, is not expected to release any photos of the president’s appearance at the lavish club.

Details of the party are “under lock and key,” according to the rep, and the White House was guarding the guest list as if it were the latest intelligence profile of Iran’s nuclear program.

Instead, only a White House pool reporter, allowed brief admittance, will file a report tonight during Obama’s ninth fund-raising trip to the Big Apple this year.

All the campaign would say yesterday was that the president would speak to about 100 people at the $40,000-per-person event, after addressing 200 donors at a $12,500-per-family reception at the Waldorf.

That puts Obama’s campaign haul for the day at more than $6 million.

Before hitting the party, Obama will tape an appearance on David Letterman.


Read more: http://www.nypost.com/p/news/national/beyonce_jay_host_ny_bam_ba_5wud17kNBMEiV8wim9YYJK#ixzz26vYGD8mB

Here are the chapter titles for a nice summary of the Obama that the main-stream media won't report on. You already know this stuff if you have been paying attention since 2007.

http://washingtonexaminer.com/obama#.UFsl165OZMh


Introduction: The Obama you don't know


Few if any of his predecessors took the oath of office with higher public hopes for his success than President Obama on Jan. 20, 2009.

Millions of Americans hailed his election as an end...


Chapter I: A childhood of privilege, not hardship


First lady Michelle Obama told the Democratic National Convention that "Barack and I were both raised by families who didn't have much in the way of money or material possessions."

It is...


Chapter II: The myth of the 'rock-star professor'


Time magazine gushed in 2008 about Barack Obama's 12-year tenure as a law lecturer at the University of Chicago Law School, saying, "Within a few years, he had become a rock-star professor with...


Chapter III: The 1997 speech that launched Obama


Few doubt that Barack Obama's stirring oration before the 2004 Democratic National Convention vaulted him into the national limelight.

But another, less-heralded Obama address --...


Chapter IV: For the slumlord's defense, Barack Obama, Esq.


Writing in his 1995 autobiography, "Dreams from My Father," Obama said he became "a civil rights lawyer" because "to lend meaning to a community's suffering and take part in its healing -- that...


Chapter V: Obama's toughest critics on the Left

Barack Obama's carefully constructed image as a civil rights lawyer who wanted to heal the black community was greeted with skepticism by some Chicago activists.

"I never drank the...


Chapter VI: The poor people Obama left behind


Four years after Barack Obama's historic election as president, little seems to have changed for the African-American communities on Chicago's South Side.

The lack of change -- or the...


Chapter VII: The myth of Obama as state Senate reformer


Shortly after Barack Obama won the 2008 presidential election, Prairie State Blue, a liberal blog, attributed his victory to the fact that Illinois' deeply entrenched government corruption had...


Chapter VIII: Obama's state pension scheme


State Sen. Barack Obama and members of an Illinois lobbying group representing politically connected minority-owned businesses launched a campaign in 2000 to pressure state pension funds to help...


Chapter IX: The Arab-American network behind Obama
President Obama's controversial relationships with radical figures like Columbia University professor Rashid Khalidi have been well-publicized in recent years.

Prior to his academic...


Chapter X: Obama brings Chicago politics to Washington

Chicago has been called the home of "gangster government." How bad is it?

Consider the following facts about the city from which President Obama rose through the ranks of American public...

NASA had to swallow hard and finally admit what was obvious to anyone that pays attention to arctic weather: that it wasn't global warming. And it actually got reported on Reuters. Albeit with non-scientific weasel-words thrown in (e.g. the nonsensical "would have") to keep the politics strong. Except that this is what happened in 2007, the most recent year that Arctic ice-loss was hyped as global warming and later found to be wind-caused.

The cycle repeats on Astromart as well. What was that saying about not learning from history?

I'll go out on a limb here and post my own prediction. My own models predict that, if something similar occurs to ice somewhere and sometime over the next several decades, it is likely that most of the AGW-believer Astromarters polled will support the notion that it is probably caused by greenhouse gas emissions and that it may be to late to save the ice.

Heh, see what I did there? I can write like an AGW journalist too.

In a September 18 video posted by NASA on its website, they admit that the Arctic cyclone, which began on August 1, ¡°wreaked havoc on the Arctic sea ice cover¡± by ¡°breaking up sea ice.¡± (NASA story here)

Global warming activists have been giddy in their hyping of the satellite era record low Arctic sea ice extent while ignoring the satellite record sea ice expansion in the Antarctic.

Many climate activists have sought to downplay the significance that the Arctic cyclone played on this year¡¯s summer sea ice in the Arctic. But this new inconvenient video report from NASA now makes the warmists¡¯ attempt to deny the cyclones role in 2012¡äs Arctic sea ice conditions ¡ª impossible.

The September 18 NASA video notes: ¡°A powerful storm wreaked havoc on the Arctic sea ice cover in August 2012. This visualization shows the strength and direction of the winds and their impact on the ice: the red vectors represent the fastest winds, while blue vectors stand for slower winds.¡±

Reuters news service filed a September 21 report based on NASA¡¯s video admission titled: ¡°NASA says Arctic cyclone played ¡®key role¡¯ in record ice melt.¡± The news segment details how the Arctic sea ice was reduced due to ¡°a powerful cyclone that scientists say ¡®wreaked havoc¡¯ on ice cover during the month of August.¡± (Reuters on ¡°Arctic Cyclone¡± ¡ª 0:47 second long segment ¡ª Rob Muir reporting.)


http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/09/24/nasa-on-arctic-sea-ice-record-low-storm-wreaked-havoc-on-the-arctic-sea-ice-cover/#more-71473

Harry Reid says Romney has sullied the Mormon religion. That's so wrong and so low on every conceivable level. Winning by smear and personal attack, the Obama Way since 1996. The ends justify the means.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) said during a conference call Monday that he agreed Mitt Romney had “sullied” their shared Mormon faith with his comments about “47 percent” of Americans, secretly recorded during a fundraiser earlier this year.

Every time we turn our heads, they are making the past cooler and/or the present warmer. And always trend towards increasing alarmism of the moment.

We've been hearing that 2012 has been the "hottest on record." I had written earlier that those claims were based on the contiguous United States only, or 1.5% of the earth's surface. The "global temperature" in 2012 through June was only the 10th hottest on record. In fact, every single month of 1998 was warmer than the corresponding month of 2012.

I thought I'd update that analysis to include July's and August's temperatures. To my surprise, NASA's entire temperature record, going back to January 1880, changed between NASA's June update and its August update. I could not just add two more numbers to my spreadsheet. The entire spreadsheet needed to be updated.

...
In short, the data that NASA makes available to the public, temperatures over the last 130 years, can change at any time, without warning and without explanation. Yes, the global temperature of January 1880 changed some time between July and September 2012.

Surprise of surprise, the change had the effect of making the long-term temperature record support conclusions of faster warming. The biggest changes were mostly pre-1963 temperatures; they were generally adjusted down. That would make the warming trend steeper, since post-1963 temperatures were adjusted slightly upward, on average. Generally, the older the data, the more adjustment.

Read more: http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2012/09/nasas_rubber_ruler.html#ixzz27bSHLWQb

While Obama keeps insisting that he needs a bigger shovel and more time to dig us deeper into this hole, the walls are caving in:

New orders for long-lasting U.S. manufactured goods in August fell by the most in 3-1/2 years, pointing to a sharp slowdown in factory activity even as a gauge of planned business spending rebounded.

But what data supports our recession call? We just discussed what GDP had looked like four years ago. Please note that for each of those two quarters GDP growth has since been revised down by two to three percentage points. Those are huge revisions.

Likewise, GDP growth prints for each of the first two quarters of the two prior recessions were revised by about two to four percentage points. The takeaway is that, in the early stages of recession, the data are almost always revised down, and the revisions tend to be quite substantial near business cycle turning points.

Knowing this, how should we feel about the current GDP estimates that average less than a 2% pace for the first half of 2012, i.e., weaker than first-half GDP growth looked four years ago? Please remember, by that time, in September 2008, the economy had already spent nine months in recession.

In the current cycle retail sales have already peaked back in March 2012 and, according to the household survey, employment has declined for the last two months, and for four of the last six months. Mind you, the household data is revised a lot less than the payroll jobs data and also tends to lead it a bit at cycle turns. (While the jobless rate, calculated from the same data, is yet to turn up in this cycle, that is mostly due to people dropping out of the labor force.)

Since July, when we highlighted the weakness in personal income growth, there have been revisions showing even weaker income growth going back a few months, followed by some apparent recovery recently. As with some of the other coincident data, this series will come under significant revision in the months (and years) ahead. Nevertheless, the weakness in income growth is showing through in retail sales data, which, as mentioned, has actually declined since March.


http://www.businesscycle.com/ecri-news-events/news-details/economic-cycle-research-the-2012-recession-are-we-there-yet

America's royal family continues it's unabetted abuse of the system:

The president’s dog gets its own high-paid staffer: “Bo made the news when he and his handler were flown to join the president on vacation in Maine,” Gray wrote about the Obama family dog. “It has been reported that the first family’s dog handler was paid $102,000, last year.”


Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2012/09/26/taxpayers-spent-1-4-billion-on-obama-family-last-year-perks-questioned-in-new-book/#ixzz27gl2xZoa


Taxpayers spent $1.4 billion dollars on everything from staffing, housing, flying and entertaining President Obama and his family last year, according to the author of a new book on taxpayer-funded presidential perks.

In comparison, British taxpayers spent just $57.8 million on the royal family.

Author Robert Keith Gray writes in “Presidential Perks Gone Royal” that Obama isn’t the only president to have taken advantage of the expensive trappings of his office. But the amount of money spent on the first family, he argues, has risen tremendously under the Obama administration and needs to be reined in.

Gray told The Daily Caller that the $1.4 billion spent on the Obama family last year is the “total cost of the presidency,” factoring the cost of the “biggest staff in history at the highest wages ever,” a 50 percent increase in the numbers of appointed czars and an Air Force One “running with the frequency of a scheduled air line.”

“The most concerning thing, I think, is the use of taxpayer funds to actually abet his re-election,” Gray, who worked in the Eisenhower administration and for other Republican presidents, said in an interview with TheDC on Wednesday.

“The press has been so slow in picking up on this extraordinary increase in the president’s expenses,” Gray told TheDC.

Specifically, Gray said taxpayer dollars are subsidizing Obama’s re-election effort when he uses Air Force One to jet across the country campaigning.

Obama supporter lays out The Word. Oh, and, an explanation of where your hard-earned tax dollars are going:

http://youtu.be/tpAOwJvTOio