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Posts Made By: David Cotterell

November 4, 2020 10:49 PM Forum: Politics

Holy Crap It's Close!

Posted By David Cotterell
I read elsewhere this morning that Polls have underestimated Republican support generally since at least the days of G.H.W. Bush....

You would think these companies would a), get tired of being so consistently wrong, and/or b), not be listened to by anyone with a functioning brain...

We should know the outcome by Thursday evening....

Dave

November 11, 2020 12:58 AM Forum: Politics

LOL

Posted By David Cotterell
Nice reaction from the involved firm...

November 13, 2020 02:46 AM Forum: Politics

A 1 Million Dollar Reward For Proof Of Voter Fraud

Posted By David Cotterell
Greg:  Your deftly framed argument, deeply nuanced, well researched point of view and witty debate tactics would make William F. Buckley rise from the grave and take notes from you.

Dave

November 15, 2020 11:18 PM Forum: Politics

Covid numbers up due to increased testing. So say some......

Posted By David Cotterell
The increase in testing (top graph) has progressed steadily - the trend line is pretty much linear.  

The number of daily cases pretty much IGNORES the above curve and is decidedly scary the last 6-8 weeks.

If increased testing is responsible for the higher reported numbers then the curves would be the same shape!! 

The rest of this month and Dec. and Jan. are going to be a gigantic public health disaster.

Dave

November 16, 2020 05:16 AM Forum: Politics

Covid numbers up due to increased testing. So say some......

Posted By David Cotterell
Originally Posted by Richard Davis

  

If cases are rising much faster as you say compared to the increase in numbers of testing, according to you, then the reported Covid numbers are not due to the increased numbers of testing?  

Is this your claim?  Yes it is.

Ok then, explain how we know that there are far more numbers of infected people. 

If for example we test 1 Million people, then according to you, we might find 1.5 Million people infected?  How does that happen?   ??????  No, test positive rates are in the 0.0 to 1.0% range.  see below.

Look at the vertical scales, Richard.  1.656 Million tests in one day (most recent data point on the blue graph) found about 160 000 positives in one day (most recent data point on the red graph).  This means that 1% of those tested that day were positive.  0.160/1.656 x 100 = 0.97% 

Go back to Nov 1.  1.45 million tests (interpolated) and there were about 75 000 positive tests (interpolated)....    0.075/1.45 x 100 = 0.52%

The RATE of positives has doubled in two weeks. 

another way of looking at it - the number of daily tests has increased in November by a factor of 1.14  while the number of daily positives has increased by a factor of 2.13 over November so far.. 

Dave



 

November 16, 2020 07:55 AM Forum: Politics

Covid numbers up due to increased testing. So say some......

Posted By David Cotterell
There are numerous, frightening, life-altering conditions happening to those who survive Covid 19.

https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/coronavirus/in-depth/coronavirus-long-term-effects/art-20490351

Just looking at the drop in deaths misses what happens to a great number of the survivors...

Dave

November 18, 2020 12:34 AM Forum: Politics

Covid numbers up due to increased testing. So say some......

Posted By David Cotterell
Originally Posted by Richard Davis

Excuse me, but would you like to make the case again about how you've never seen people die of the flu? 
 

Nice history lesson, Rich,  but Jim said, "Never personally known anyone who has died from the flu."

Reading is hard.

Dave

November 24, 2020 07:13 AM Forum: Politics

Covid numbers up due to increased testing. So say some......

Posted By David Cotterell
My condolences, Jim.  Keep those memories strong.

Dave

November 27, 2020 12:17 PM Forum: Politics

Happy Thanksgiving....

Posted By David Cotterell
Have a great day and week.  Beware the tryptophan high!!  

Dave

November 28, 2020 07:10 AM Forum: Politics

Happy Thanksgiving....

Posted By David Cotterell
Originally Posted by Richard Davis

Darian, believe me you aren't missing much!  LOL

My younger brother is a Pro Golfer.  He doesn't really compete any longer, but he's still a PGA member. He owns a Pro shop at some country club in or near Lubbock, Texas.

I never was any good at Golf. 

I find it more fun to watch than to play.  I never understood the appeal though of chasing that little white ball around on grass.  It is really boring.  

I'd rather watch women's golf though, because they do tend to have great legs and they don't mind showing them off.  smile
Golf:  A beautiful walk in the countryside, ruined.

Mark Twain

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