Posts Made By: James Lacey

Originally Posted by Jim Moscheck

Don't you mean Trump and the GOP's handbook? Trump himself is coming up on 15,000 lies over three years.

I'm convinced that the whole point of all of Trump's lying is to flood the zone with so much bull sh!t that no one knows what to believe anymore. According to Trump, FBI inspector generals lie to us as well as professors, journalists, historians, writers, scholars, scientists, doctors, basically anyone who questions him or reflects on him poorly. In fact, according to Trump, the only person who doesn't lie is himself, which is hysterical since if you could make a living being a lying, cheating snake in the grass, then he indeed would be a billionaire.

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

You can relax since Trump has proclaimed the Fox News poll as "always inaccurate" and "so ridiculous". Greg: vindicated!

It's truly amazing how much effort Trump supporters put into denying that Trump is a wildly unpopular President. More than 50% of the American people favor his impeachment, and the right-wing fever swamp somehow wants us to believe this is a win? The only reason Trump might have a chance in 2020 is if the swing-states that the electoral college pivots on fall to him again. In a straight-up popular contest, he would lose soundly. Let Trump continue to be Trump. He is his own worst enemy. For example, let him pardon war criminals and attack war heroes like Lt. Col. Vindman. Under what calculus does that secure him the military vote? Trump is the most incompetent person we could have ever elected to the office of POTUS. He should be impeached simply for incompetence and dereliction of duty alone.

Originally Posted by Greg Shaffer

LOL....you guys really do live in a bubble created for you by leftist propaganda......

He already lost the popular vote the first time. Do you really think he's done anything to improve that standing?

Originally Posted by Greg Shaffer

So? I know you are at least intelligent enough to understand Presidential elections are not decided by the popular vote and comprehend the reasons it is not? A rather ridiculous and moot point is it not? Or do you really believe some peoples votes are not as relevant as others based on where they live.....Maybe Darian is right and you really do live in bizzaro world lol

It is not ridiculous or moot since it speaks to how unpopular Trump truly is; he would soundly lose in a popular contest. He has done nothing to improve his standing in the popular vote since 2016. Unless, of course, you think calling the FBI director scum, attacking a 16-year-old girl on Twitter because you are jealous of her, or that Tweeting literally hundreds of personal attacks a day makes him more popular. Even a Fox News poll shows that more than 50% of Americans think he should be impeached. Some 55% disapprove of his job performance. Most believe he's getting what he deserves and that what he did was clearly wrong. To say that he is unpopular is actually an understatement. Trump is so obviously guilty; it's hard even to know what to say to the deniers. The evidence says he did it. His accomplices say he did it. Everyone even tangentially involved in the Ukranian bribery/extortion scheme says he did it. He says he did it, and he would do it again, and Giuliani is still doing it!

Originally Posted by Russ Carroll

Only Trump supporters would say the majority of Americans live in a bubble. 

It truly is nuts right? We live in a bubble, but they think Trump is an anti-corruption President. Never mind that his family's charity was shut down by the NY AG for corruption. Never mind that Trump agreed to pay a $2Mn fine because of that corruption. Never mind that courts ordered three of his adult children, court-mandated training classes, to teach them how not to abuse a charity for personal gain again. Never mind that half a dozen of Trump's closest political campaign cohorts and his lawyer have convictions on charges of corruption. 

We live in a bubble, but they think Trump will easily coast to victory in 2020. Never mind that he's consistently -10% in job approval and has never been over 50%. Never mind that Trump polls behind each of the top Democratic candidates even in red states like Texas.  Never mind that a plurality of the country wants Trump impeached and removed from office, and a majority wants Trump impeached and thinks that he deserves it. Never mind that the only reason he won in 2016 is that he got lucky and managed to thread the needle in the electoral college. Never mind that losing the popular vote again, which he will almost surely do, and winning the electoral college again is almost certainly not possible. You never know, though, Trump could win again, but it's highly unlikely. He has a good economy, but he's already gotten all the additional advantages out of that he can. There is little indication that he has any headroom left to improve his position since he can't seem to quit offending every group of independent voters on the planet. He's juiced the economy so much for his political advantage, that there is no space left to expand. But yeah, we live in a bubble.

Originally Posted by Greg Shaffer

Interesting how you directly lie here.....all the current polls I can find show Trumps job approval rating ranging from 40 to 45% approval. I dont recall ever seeing it anywhere near 10% LOL. Can you point me to an approval poll that is anywhere near 10% during his term so far? I seriously doubt it. As I said you folks are living in a bubble of your own construction.

Before jumping to conclusion, and calling someone a liar, please go back and read what I wrote carefully. I said -10%; not 10%.

Originally Posted by Darian Rachal

James, I'm beginning to wonder if you are posting this "idiocy" just to get a reaction.

Trump is by any measure wildly unpopular, and it's not clear that he has any way to improve his standing among independents, the only group that can sway one way or another now. Trump is even losing support among traditional Republicans. You guys seem always to forget that the GOP did not want Trump even in 2016 and did everything they could to eject him from the nomination process.  George Conway, Steve Schmidt, John Weaver, and Rick Wilson, all prominent Republican conservatives who have worked for and supported Republican campaigns in the past, published an Op-Ed today titled, "We are Republican, and we want Trump Defeated." Never Trumpism didn't go away, and now it's turned into Eject Trumpism. It is my humble opinion that you guys are nuts if you think Trump is going to coast to victory in 2020 easily.

Originally Posted by Greg Shaffer

Ok....I will give you that one lol.....I misread it however I have an excuse. You post so much outlandish stuff I was not prompted to read it twice

There is only one person on this forum that posts so much outlandish stuff that there is no way you could ever read it all, and his name is not James. Seriously though Greg, surely you have to agree that it is highly unusual for an incumbent President to face so much opposition inside his party. This situation is not a position of strength; it is a position of weakness. The opposition is doing much more than just writing op-eds, by the way. They are actively working on projects whose purpose is to change opinions and hold Trump accountable at the ballot box for his violations of oath to the Constitution and his betrayal of public trust. This effort against a sitting President is not a good situation for re-election.

Originally Posted by James Brown

FWIW, I think Trump losing the "popular vote" and winning the EC is very possible.  Maybe 50/50?  

Given that it's only happened five times in our history, and only twice in modern times (Bush 2000 and Trump 2016), I respectfully disagree. The odds against such an outcome are incredibly high. Never forget that Trump's margin of victory in the rust-belt states was razor-thin. Only 10,000 votes separated Trump and Hillary in PA; the independent got more than 100,000 votes. It's worth noting too that Bush's victory in 2000 hinged entirely on the outcome of the SCOTUS decision about hanging chad in FL. It could have easily gone the other way too. Winning the electoral college and losing the popular vote is not a winning strategy in Presidential elections.

Originally Posted by James Brown

See my previous post for more on this, but I would not be surprised if winning the electoral college and losing the popular vote is the new normal when R's do happen to win, given that CA and NY are significantly more monolithic in their voting than large R states.  

Jim

If it does happen again, it will be one for the history books. If I had to bet a $1,000 on the outcome, though, I would bet against it. As you say, though, you have to focus on the swing states and their contribution to the electoral college. You can, of course, find analyses that lean either direction. How is that for a committal non-committal?