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Posts Made By: Patrick Keafer

October 6, 2018 03:29 AM Forum: Politics

On this we might all agree

Posted By Patrick Keafer

Originally Posted by Richard Davis

I don't live in a bubble, you live in a cocoon.

And you know something Patrick, every woman you claim are going to be swayed by the Accusations towards Kavanaugh, will have a counter voter woman who is swayed the opposite way, so Republicans need not fear anything.  

And as to your claims of "polling", YOUR polling was sure accurate on election day in 2016 wasn't it?  Did you vote for Hilary Patrick?  I think you probably since you indicated as such back in late 2016.  

Your candidate lost. 

Are you still promoting your idea that Trump is not conservative in the least and that he is an authoritarian?

We know you were wrong on both counts there, so why should we consider your assertions now?  

I don't need you or anyone else to consider my assertions as relevant.  You are kind of irrelevant as to whether I share my opinion here and you are not the arbiter of what is right or wrong.

So I'll write you down as having predicted the Republicans will hold more seats in congress in January then they do today and we'll see who is right in about a month.

October 8, 2018 12:13 PM Forum: Politics

On this we might all agree

Posted By Patrick Keafer

Originally Posted by Richard Davis

If you watch this video of her recently, I think that might be Urban Legend Greg.  Listening to her speak though makes me wonder if she is still competent to make judgments about the Constitutionality of various issues.  Seems as if she has a hard time getting her thoughts together.

  http://www.gopusa.com/frail-justice-ginsburg-blasts-brett-kavanaugh-hearings-as-highly-partisan-show/

Unfortunately my family is all too familiar with pancreatic cancer.  If she had that she'd most likely be a month or two away from passing, if that, and I don't think she'd be out there.  She is old though.  I suspect she'd die on the court before retiring in the Trump admin.

October 19, 2018 03:57 AM Forum: Politics

GOP On The Deficit

Posted By Patrick Keafer

Originally Posted by Richard Davis


Reality Check:

https://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/terence-p-jeffrey/obama-has-presided-over-5-6-largest-deficits-us-history

That article is from 2013.

The Headline:

Obama Has Presided Over 5 of 6 Largest Deficits in U.S. History

Gee, correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't recall you or your Democrat party having much to say about that.  

Did I miss your outrage?

The Democrat party, Hypocrisy at its best.  ermm

I think you forgot my outrage. When I questioned Trump's proposed tax cut years ago in a high deficit environment you told me we were going to "grow" out of the deficit and the predictions, even though they were already dynamically scored, were wrong and the product of left leaning economists.  So as a fiscal conservative I ask again, when are we going to eliminate the deficit and start paying down debt?  The economy is booming.  Isn't it now the time raise some taxes?

October 25, 2018 01:31 AM Forum: Politics

Predictions for November

Posted By Patrick Keafer

Originally Posted by Maurice Clark
Just for fun, with the election only a couple of weeks away, let's see some predictions for the house and senate. Polls are useful as a guide, but it all depends on the turnout.

I will start with my prediction.

Senate:-  Republicans will hold,  52 - 48
House:-  Democrats to take with a majority of 9.

What say you?

Cheers,

Maurice

Added on edit.  Forgot about the governors races. My prediction:-  Democrats to pick up 5. New Mexico, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, and Wisconsin.

I think I'm giving up predictions because Trump is such a wildcard but I'll try.

I'm not following each specific race closely enough to make a specific count but I'd say the Democrats take the house pretty much in line with historic mid-term results.  Not a blue-wave but not a GOP save either.

In the Senate the GOP adds one.

October 27, 2018 02:37 AM Forum: Politics

Who Trump is, who his core supporters are....a brilliant perspective

Posted By Patrick Keafer

Originally Posted by Gerald Miller

"What's wrong Trump saying 'the media is the enemy of the people'? And especially CNN? "

One of the requirements of gaining power by fascist leaders is the elimination of the free press. If the public doesn't trust the media, then the fascist leader can tell them what is true and what is not. That's one very real danger. By targeting the media (besides FoxNews) then only one side of the truth be known-the truth they want you to hear. That should frighten everyone. The other is that some deranged nut will send a bomb to the "enemy of the people." The second danger played out this week. The first is on going.

"So what of Trump shows-off his physical prowess by demonstrating how to body slam an opponent and his supporters do the same for a reporter in the crowd? "

Encouraging violence by the President of the United States will begat violence, as shown by what happened this week. It likely is a direct result of Trump demonizing his political opponents, and if he says it's OK to body slam a member of the press, then, since they are the enemy of the people, it's OK to send them a pipe bomb, too. Unless you think it's OK to body slam someone who is reporting what is going on in Trump rallies. If that's the case, I'm wasting my time answering your question. 

"So what if a significant portion of Republicans polled believe she headed a child porn ring in a pizza parlor in a psycho-version of Chuckie Cheese?"

There's nothing technically "wrong" about believing  silly conspiracy theories other than wasting your time doing so. There's never been a shortage people that want to believe such nonsense, such as the world is flat, or the US didn't actually go to the moon, or whatever fancies them. Fortunately, most people have more common sense and don't believe totally unproved and undocumented conspiracies theories like the Q Movement. Anyone who believes in speculation and impossible to prove or unsubstantiated theories is the one being deluded.


Good luck Gerald.  I'm not fan of CNN and I think they do Americans a disservice but you are having a conversation about civility with a person who gets his talking points primarily from talk radio, which is filled with a bunch of nasty conspiracy theory types who think everything that runs counter to their argument is a hoax.  But you won't hear any apologies from Rush and the like for trying to mislead their listeners into thinking it was a liberal plot to influence the election.  I guess the next thing they are going to perpetuate is the guy with the Trump van, the pro-trump tweets, and the pictures at Trump rallies, was manipulated by someone into sending the bombs.

November 1, 2018 03:54 AM Forum: Politics

Is Cruz gonna lose?

Posted By Patrick Keafer

If Democrats turn out and illegals vote (ha ha!) this might be the last gasp for Ted Cruuuze.  Polls are tightening and his lead is down to 3.6%...in Texas!

https://www.texastribune.org/2018/10/31/ted-cruz-beto-orourke-poll-uttyler-texas/

So do you think he'll pull it out or is lyin Ted going to be another downed Tea Partier?

November 1, 2018 05:22 AM Forum: Politics

Is Cruz gonna lose?

Posted By Patrick Keafer

Originally Posted by Richard Davis

BTW, you're cherry picking the polls on that page.  The most Accurate poll in Texas is thought to be Quinnipiac, which STILL has him leading O'Rourke by 5 points and the other reliable poll shows Cruz up by 6 points.  

The poll you cited is over 2 weeks old and it is the UT-Tyler Texas poll.  

That one is the MOST favorable for O'Rourke.  

You're falling into the wishful thinking category. 

The Quinnipiac hasn't changed in over a month, and they say he has a pretty solid lead.  

I'm not cherry picking anything.  I got it from Drudge.  If many of the polls are tightening to the blue side, it could be indications of a long night for the GOP.  I'd be shocked if Cruz lost and if he did, it would almost have to be a blue wave.

November 2, 2018 01:06 AM Forum: Politics

Birthright Citizenship

Posted By Patrick Keafer

Originally Posted by Gerald Miller

I would never try to predict that this guy will do. It's all about him.


I don't think Trumspter is capable of reaching out publicly in a genuine and kind manner.  It is all about him and it is his negotiating style.  He draws his line in the sand using bravado and name calling, then privately reaches out to cut a deal or make peace so he can later declare some type of victory, even if its only pyrrhic.  I think he's generally a good negotiator but these tactics don't help a public figure that needs to calm tensions and settle things down occasionally.  He's half what a President should be IMO.  This makes me think that ultimately he'll end up being a President who accomplishes quite a bit but gets little recognition and he will not be regarded as one of the best that we've had.  Sadly, I don't think there's any great revelation in this thought.  

November 7, 2018 09:12 AM Forum: Politics

The bloodbath begins...

Posted By Patrick Keafer

Trump and talk radio look like they are getting destroyed tonight with quick early exits for Republican candidates in Virginia and Pennsylvania.  Lets hope it doesn't spread to other parts of the country!

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/06/democrat-jennifer-wexton-unseats-gop-rep-barbara-comstock-in-virginia-nbc-news.html
https://wtop.com/local-politics-elections-news/2018/11/kaine-stewart-senate-virginia/
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/414144-casey-secures-third-senate-term-in-race-against-trump-supporting

November 7, 2018 10:04 AM Forum: Politics

The bloodbath begins...

Posted By Patrick Keafer

Yes, maybe Virginia just is blue for good. It certainly is not Trump friendly. Other parts of the country arent doing so bad.