Image of the day

Captured by
Arthur Hogan

Heart and Soul Nebulas

My Account

New to Astromart?

Register an account...

Need Help?

Posts Made By: Darian Rachal

April 24, 2020 10:52 PM Forum: Politics

Another Covid19 Treatment: Ineffective

Posted By Darian Rachal

Originally Posted by Brian McFarland

That video is absolutely cringe-worthy. For all the comedians around the world, he is the gift who keeps on giving. Who needs comedy writers anymore?
We'll see who's laughing in November.tongue

April 24, 2020 10:55 PM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Darian Rachal

Originally Posted by James Lacey


Rational people would call this definitive, not just suggestive. There is no doubt the social distancing measures are working, and they have not just broad support among the public; they have tremendous support. The steps do have another cost, though. It turns out I was wrong about the 30% furlough at my work-place since it turned out to be 75% myself included. The company is going to pay our health-care premium for two months, so that is one bright spot. Our director says he believes we will be back to work by the 6th of July, but most of us don't think it will happen. For me, it's no big deal, my family and I will be fine, but for a lot of other people, it's a real threat to their well-being. I'm afraid, however, that we will be dealing with the fallout of COVID for at least another 2 to 3 years. Things are not returning to normal anytime soon, and especially not with the response seen so far from our national government.
James, I am sorry to hear about your employment situation but glad to hear that it will not affect you as adversely as others.smile

April 25, 2020 12:10 AM Forum: Politics

Another Covid19 Treatment: Ineffective

Posted By Darian Rachal

Originally Posted by Jim Moscheck

Hi Darian, 

Did you see the news conference or the video I posted? How you guys can support this imbecile I can not fathom. He isn't even a conservative. 
Jim, as I've stated previously, I consider Trump infinitely preferable to whatever(excuse my language) "sack of s**t" the Democrat Party throws out there.

April 25, 2020 12:25 AM Forum: Politics

Another Covid19 Treatment: Ineffective

Posted By Darian Rachal

Originally Posted by Richard Davis

Darian, they are never going to stop picking every word that he says, and twisting it.  I think you are right that we will most likely be laughing at them, not with them. 

As far as the Dis-infectant comment, I can only say this, one would have to be a complete meathead to take his words literally as if he was saying swallow some Lysol.  

That explains the left and their constant barrage on his terminology.

It is easy, one becomes IN-fected with the virus and so he mentioned DIS-infecting your lungs.  

That's kind of what a drug does, an antibiotic Dis-infects one's internal system by eradicating the invading virus.  

They can jump on his statement all they want. 

Now you were challenged by one of the resident leftists regarding the numbers of dead, close to 50k, if we haven't hit that mark already.  

First of all to criticize that is a lol moment against the person making the criticism because less than a month ago, these experts like the dude from Imperial College, were saying there would 1/4 Million dead in the US because of the virus.

No criticism by him or by the other leftist here about the wildly inaccurate numbers provided by the WHO and their other "experts" on the left, but then leftists really never have any consistency whatsover, they are simply sheep who are mesmerized by their leftist leaders.
  
The only problem with that figure of 50K dead today, is that it is elevated.  

Many Doctors have commented about that, including one of the most Well respected, Stanford University Dr. John Ioannidis who indicated that he sees a problem in that every person who dies WITH the Coronavirus in their system is given a death certificate that they died BECAUSE of the Coronavirus.  

He says that is really not accurate at all, and their total numbers, as in the Denominators have never been accurate.  

It is all guessing games. 

They have Zero consistency in their logic, which kind of goes along with being a leftist though, doesn't it?  wink

Darian, hope you have a great weekend!  smile
Rich, I've got a birthday party to attend Sunday. Not sure how many will be there but I don't anticipate "social distancing", nor everyone wearing masks. wink  I've got a couple of bottles of Cabernet Sauvignon that I've been saving for such an appropriate opportunity. cheerful 

April 25, 2020 02:45 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Darian Rachal

Originally Posted by James Lacey


Darian,

We are already at 50,000 deaths, and it's not even the end of April. Just a little over a week ago, you said that your intuition was that we would not see more than 40,000 deaths in total. I think this establishes that intuition is not a good predictor. We have seen 50,000 deaths in four months with extreme social distancing and non-pharmaceutical interventions. If you look at the data, if you read Jim's analysis, which is quite good and impressive, there is no doubt that social distancing has worked. It's not speculation, and to say otherwise is in my mind anyway, just willful avoidance of becoming informed since it clashes with your political leanings.
Jim said,  "I believe that this suggests that we'd be in a lot worse shape with respect to COVID 19 without the mitigation efforts."

James, would you care to speculate on the number of deaths without mitigation efforts? Would it have been significantly more? I don't think anyone can answer that question with absolute certainty. They can speculate using models, but as we have seen throughout this entire matter, the models have been consistently wrong.

April 25, 2020 02:54 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Darian Rachal

Originally Posted by Greg Shaffer
I was reading some posts for and against reopening the country. One was talking about being selfish and it got me to thinking.

There are those wanting to reopen yet they’re being classified as selfish. There are those that rely on all kinds of people to supply them while they cower in fear at home. Isn’t that being selfish too?

You expect your garbage to be picked up, you expect the grocery store to be open so you can get milk, you expect truck drivers to supply the stores, you expect farmers, meatpackers, fruit and vegetable pickers all to keep food in that grocery store.

You expect Amazon to still ship all the things you’re ordering while you sit at home shopping. You expect the delivery driver to leave it on your doorstep. You expect your phone to work, your power to stay on, and your mail to show up rain, sleet, or shine. And most important, you expect the doctors and nurses to be there if you need them although many of them across the country have been furloughed because their units and services have been shut down while the entire system focuses only on COVID19.

The whole premise of shelter in place is based on the arrogant idea that others must risk their health so you can protect yours. There is nothing virtuous about ignoring the largely invisible army required to allow people to shelter in place.

I dont doubt there are some of you that are screaming mad about what I just said but stop and really think about what is allowing you to stay safe in your home.

I truly believe that with some common sense on my part, I could easily go back to life as it was. I want to go to restaurants, I want to shop at the little store just up the road.

And yes, I could catch COVID-19. I could also catch the flu or a cold. I could get run over by a bus. I could get struck by lightning. We take risks everyday. If you choose to stay home, that is absolutely your choice. And please don’t start screaming at me about how I’ll just spread it. Why are you worried? You won’t get it because you’re staying in your home. Are you going to shelter in place every time a new strand of the flu happens?

Our economy can’t withstand much more of this. If our economy collapses, so will the rest of the world’s. If that happens, you WILL see the rise of tyrants.

I absolutely don’t want people to die...from COVID or anything else. I want people to live.

But sheltering in place is not living.
Greg, some people don't seem to object to having their minds manipulated and their lives controlled by what they see and hear on the "idiot box" every day. It's unfortunate.sad

April 25, 2020 02:57 AM Forum: Politics

Too Funny!

Posted By Darian Rachal

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fmpPI5fFpQU
No doubt, all good Libtards.

April 25, 2020 03:05 AM Forum: Politics

Another Covid19 Treatment: Ineffective

Posted By Darian Rachal

Originally Posted by Jim Moscheck
Yes, that's exactly what the president should be doing. Have a daily press briefing and in the middle of decimating accurate information to the American people he's going to prank the media with sarcasm about ingesting disinfectant and sticking UV light up your ass just to see how the media reacts. 
It sort of reminds me of when Trump made a crack about checking with the Russians for Clinton's missing emails(or something similar) and the leftist cretins in the media took him seriously. Trump runs rings around these mindless idiots on a daily basis and they're just too stupid to realize what's going on.grin

April 25, 2020 03:24 AM Forum: Politics

Covid-19 data and graphs

Posted By Darian Rachal

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

Actually the model from the WH has been consistently wrong, while another, frequently cited one, as been far more accurate:
"On April 9, Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said the total death toll would likely be far lower than the initial White House estimate. "It looks more like the 60,000 [figure] than the 100,000 to 200,000," he told NBC's TODAY Show. "But having said that, we'd better be careful that we don't say, 'OK, we're doing so well we could pull back.'"
This figure from Fauci is more in line with the widely cited forecast from the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME). At present, this model suggests that by August 4, there will have been 60,308 coronavirus deaths in the U.S.—with a range of between 34,063 to 140,145. At time of writing, the Johns Hopkins University tracker has recorded 788,000 cases in the U.S., with 42,364 deaths. The IHME model says the country is six days past the peak number of deaths."
The present modeling has been upped to 67.000 deaths at this time but the variables noted in the link obviously affect any assessment:
https://www.newsweek.com/why-covid-19-death-forecasts-are-wrong-1499243
Rod, I certainly think Trump is mistaken when he touts some of his figures on a daily basis regarding how many people "may" have died if certain steps hadn't been taken. I think the biggest problem is that the "shut down" was based on wildly inaccurate data(millions dying) and was more of an emotional response. It's obvious that if we had known that 50,000+ US deaths would have occurred over this time period, there definitely would not have been such drastic action taken.

From the article: "Redlener said that the issue with models is they come up with an answer to a question, such as what the fatality rate is, or when the apex of cases will be. "The problem is forecasting is increasingly inaccurate because of the variables," he told Newsweek. "[They] come up with an answer, but the answer does not necessarily reflect specificity, because of the assumptions that go into the formula. If you put in uncertain numbers and assumptions that can't really be proved, the conclusions are not necessarily accurate."  

I'm inclined to think that this applies to the social distancing conclusions regarding its effect.

April 25, 2020 03:37 AM Forum: Politics

Another Covid19 Treatment: Ineffective

Posted By Darian Rachal

Originally Posted by Rod Kaufman

https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/24/politics/fact-check-trump-disinfectant-sarcastic/index.html
From the article: Differing spin
The White House's initial statement on Friday about the disinfectant remarks did not say the President had been sarcastic. It only alleged that the media had taken him out of context.
Trump has a history of falsely claiming that serious but controversial remarks had been sarcasm. For example, he has insisted that his famous 2016 "Russia, if you're listening" request for Russia's help obtaining Hillary Clinton's emails was him being "sarcastic" and making "a joke."

Rod, I was listening when Trump made this statement. It was obvious to anyone but leftist imbeciles that he was being "humorous". It's funny that some people are actually that "stupid", but I guess that leftist cretins infected with TDS are unable to appreciate good humor. To the left, laughing at something like Carson's humor is unacceptable.